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Apr 4, 2025

9835cab · Apr 4, 2025

1	Lecture	Date	Materials	Reading
2	1	Wednesday, April 9, 2025	[Introduction](#introduction)	Watch: Sir Ken Robinson / Hans Rosling (optional)
3	2	Friday, April 11, 2025	[Decision Analysis Overview](#decision_analysis)	@luedeling_decision-focused_2016
4	3	Wednesday, April 16, 2025	[Defining a Decision](#define_decision)	@howard_foundations_2015 (Chapter 1. Introduction to Quality Decision Making)
5	4	Wednesday, April 23, 2025	[Decision Analysis Case Studies](#case_studies)	@shepherd_development_2015
6	5	Friday, April 25, 2025	[Participatory Methods](#participatory_methods)	Reed et al. (2009)
7	6	Wednesday, April 30, 2025	[Building Decision Models](#decision_models)	@do_decision_2020
8	7	Friday, May 2, 2025	[Using Models to Create Forecasts](#forecasts)	@tetlock_superforecasting_2015 (Chapter 1. An Optimistic Skeptic)
9	8	Wednesday, May 7, 2025	[Bayesian Thinking](#bayes)	@bertsch_mcgrayne_theory_2011 (Chapter 1. Causes in the Air)
10	9	Friday, May 9, 2025	[Calibrating experts](#calibration_lecture)	@kahneman_thinking_2011 (Chapter 1)
11	10	Friday, May 16, 2025	[Profile of a Decision Analyst](#analyst_profile)	@savage_flaw_2009 (Chapter 1)