You signed in with another tab or window. Reload to refresh your session.You signed out in another tab or window. Reload to refresh your session.You switched accounts on another tab or window. Reload to refresh your session.Dismiss alert
I'm evaluating a state-level education policy change and trying to decide between difference-in-differences and synthetic control methods. Both seem potentially applicable, but I'm not sure which is more appropriate.
My setup:
Treatment: One state adopted new teacher compensation policy in 2018
Outcome: Student test scores (panel data 2010-2023)
Data: All 50 states, annual observations
Concern: Treated state had different pre-treatment trend from national average
My understanding:
DID requires parallel trends assumption - but visual inspection shows my treated state trending differently
Synthetic control can handle different pre-trends by constructing weighted counterfactual
But synthetic control gives me just one treated unit, so wider confidence intervals?
Questions:
Does the different pre-trend automatically disqualify DID?
Is synthetic control always preferable when you have just one treated unit?
Can I run both and compare results, or is that p-hacking?
Would appreciate guidance on how to think through this choice systematically.
reacted with thumbs up emoji reacted with thumbs down emoji reacted with laugh emoji reacted with hooray emoji reacted with confused emoji reacted with heart emoji reacted with rocket emoji reacted with eyes emoji
Uh oh!
There was an error while loading. Please reload this page.
-
I'm evaluating a state-level education policy change and trying to decide between difference-in-differences and synthetic control methods. Both seem potentially applicable, but I'm not sure which is more appropriate.
My setup:
My understanding:
Questions:
Would appreciate guidance on how to think through this choice systematically.
Beta Was this translation helpful? Give feedback.
All reactions