btc_backtest.ipynb

{
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  {
   "cell_type": "markdown",
   "metadata": {},
   "source": [
    "# Backtesting SMA trading strategy using Vectorbt API\n",
    "\n",
    "### Source code: \n",
    "https://pypi.org/project/vectorbt/ , https://vectorbt.dev/docs/index.html"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 1,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [],
   "source": [
    "# Import libraries\n",
    "import vectorbt as vbt\n",
    "import numpy as np\n",
    "import pandas as pd\n",
    "import plotly.io as pio\n",
    "\n",
    "pio.renderers.default = 'svg' # comment this line out to get interactive charts"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 2,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "Date\n",
       "2015-01-01 00:00:00+00:00      314.248993\n",
       "2015-01-02 00:00:00+00:00      315.032013\n",
       "2015-01-03 00:00:00+00:00      281.082001\n",
       "2015-01-04 00:00:00+00:00      264.195007\n",
       "2015-01-05 00:00:00+00:00      274.473999\n",
       "                                 ...     \n",
       "2022-01-19 00:00:00+00:00    41744.328125\n",
       "2022-01-20 00:00:00+00:00    40680.417969\n",
       "2022-01-21 00:00:00+00:00    36457.316406\n",
       "2022-01-22 00:00:00+00:00    35030.250000\n",
       "2022-01-23 00:00:00+00:00    35251.531250\n",
       "Freq: D, Name: Close, Length: 2580, dtype: float64"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 2,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Pull hostorical prices\n",
    "price = vbt.YFData.download('BTC-USD', freq='D', fees=0.01, missing_index='drop').get('Close')\n",
    "# Select time window to test.\n",
    "price = price.loc[\"2015\":\"2022\"]\n",
    "price"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 3,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "19271.29398733142"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 3,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Define short and long SMA windows. Test different window combinations to see results of Buy & Hold vs SMA strategy\n",
    "fast_ma = vbt.MA.run(price, 10)\n",
    "slow_ma = vbt.MA.run(price, 20)\n",
    "entries = fast_ma.ma_above(slow_ma, crossover=True)\n",
    "exits = fast_ma.ma_below(slow_ma, crossover=True)\n",
    "\n",
    "# Fit the model and input starting investment to calculate total profit form the trading stategy\n",
    "pf = vbt.Portfolio.from_signals(price, entries, exits, init_cash=100)\n",
    "pf.total_profit()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 4,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "11117.70699166025"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 4,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Calculate total profit from the Buy & Hold strategy\n",
    "pf1 = vbt.Portfolio.from_holding(price, init_cash=100)\n",
    "pf1.total_profit()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 5,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
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     },
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "display_data"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Plot trading strategy\n",
    "pf.plot().show()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 6,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
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rgb(42, 63, 95); fill-opacity: 1; white-space: pre; opacity: 1;\" transform=\"translate(388.95,0)\">2019</text></g><g class=\"xtick\"><text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"0\" y=\"333\" style=\"font-family: 'Open Sans', verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; fill: rgb(42, 63, 95); fill-opacity: 1; white-space: pre; opacity: 1;\" transform=\"translate(468.88,0)\">2020</text></g><g class=\"xtick\"><text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"0\" y=\"333\" style=\"font-family: 'Open Sans', verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; fill: rgb(42, 63, 95); fill-opacity: 1; white-space: pre; opacity: 1;\" transform=\"translate(549.03,0)\">2021</text></g><g class=\"xtick\"><text text-anchor=\"middle\" x=\"0\" y=\"333\" style=\"font-family: 'Open Sans', verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; fill: rgb(42, 63, 95); fill-opacity: 1; white-space: pre; opacity: 1;\" transform=\"translate(628.96,0)\">2022</text></g></g><g class=\"yaxislayer-above\"><g class=\"ytick\"><text text-anchor=\"end\" x=\"32\" 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verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; fill: rgb(42, 63, 95); fill-opacity: 1; white-space: pre; opacity: 1;\" transform=\"translate(0,55.49)\">70k</text></g></g><g class=\"overaxes-above\"/></g></g><g class=\"polarlayer\"/><g class=\"ternarylayer\"/><g class=\"geolayer\"/><g class=\"funnelarealayer\"/><g class=\"pielayer\"/><g class=\"iciclelayer\"/><g class=\"treemaplayer\"/><g class=\"sunburstlayer\"/><g class=\"glimages\"/><defs id=\"topdefs-ae78a7\"><g class=\"clips\"/><clipPath id=\"legendae78a7\"><rect width=\"431\" height=\"29\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\"/></clipPath></defs><g class=\"layer-above\"><g class=\"imagelayer\"/><g class=\"shapelayer\"/></g><g class=\"infolayer\"><g class=\"legend\" pointer-events=\"all\" transform=\"translate(239,11.519999999999996)\"><rect class=\"bg\" shape-rendering=\"crispEdges\" style=\"stroke: rgb(68, 68, 68); stroke-opacity: 1; fill: rgb(255, 255, 255); fill-opacity: 1; stroke-width: 0px;\" width=\"431\" height=\"29\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\"/><g class=\"scrollbox\" transform=\"\" clip-path=\"url(#legendae78a7)\"><g class=\"groups\"><g class=\"traces\" transform=\"translate(0,14.5)\" style=\"opacity: 1;\"><text class=\"legendtext\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"40\" y=\"4.680000000000001\" style=\"font-family: 'Open Sans', verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; fill: rgb(42, 63, 95); fill-opacity: 1; white-space: pre;\">Close</text><g class=\"layers\" style=\"opacity: 1;\"><g class=\"legendfill\"/><g class=\"legendlines\"><path class=\"js-line\" d=\"M5,0h30\" style=\"fill: none; stroke: rgb(31, 119, 180); stroke-opacity: 1; stroke-width: 2px;\"/></g><g class=\"legendsymbols\"><g class=\"legendpoints\"/></g></g><rect class=\"legendtoggle\" x=\"0\" y=\"-9.5\" width=\"72.8125\" height=\"19\" style=\"fill: rgb(0, 0, 0); fill-opacity: 0;\"/></g><g class=\"traces\" transform=\"translate(75.3125,14.5)\" style=\"opacity: 1;\"><text class=\"legendtext\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"40\" y=\"4.680000000000001\" style=\"font-family: 'Open Sans', verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; fill: rgb(42, 63, 95); fill-opacity: 1; white-space: pre;\">Peak</text><g class=\"layers\" style=\"opacity: 1;\"><g class=\"legendfill\"/><g class=\"legendlines\"/><g class=\"legendsymbols\"><g class=\"legendpoints\"><path class=\"scatterpts\" transform=\"translate(20,0)\" d=\"M4.55,0L0,4.55L-4.55,0L0,-4.55Z\" style=\"opacity: 1; stroke-width: 1px; fill: rgb(66, 133, 244); fill-opacity: 1; stroke: rgb(11, 84, 205); stroke-opacity: 1;\"/></g></g></g><rect class=\"legendtoggle\" x=\"0\" y=\"-9.5\" width=\"69.4375\" height=\"19\" style=\"fill: rgb(0, 0, 0); fill-opacity: 0;\"/></g><g class=\"traces\" transform=\"translate(147.25,14.5)\" style=\"opacity: 1;\"><text class=\"legendtext\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"40\" y=\"4.680000000000001\" style=\"font-family: 'Open Sans', verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; fill: rgb(42, 63, 95); fill-opacity: 1; white-space: pre;\">Valley</text><g class=\"layers\" style=\"opacity: 1;\"><g class=\"legendfill\"/><g class=\"legendlines\"/><g class=\"legendsymbols\"><g class=\"legendpoints\"><path class=\"scatterpts\" transform=\"translate(20,0)\" d=\"M4.55,0L0,4.55L-4.55,0L0,-4.55Z\" style=\"opacity: 1; stroke-width: 1px; fill: rgb(234, 67, 53); fill-opacity: 1; stroke: rgb(181, 31, 18); stroke-opacity: 1;\"/></g></g></g><rect class=\"legendtoggle\" x=\"0\" y=\"-9.5\" width=\"75.171875\" height=\"19\" style=\"fill: rgb(0, 0, 0); fill-opacity: 0;\"/></g><g class=\"traces\" transform=\"translate(224.921875,14.5)\" style=\"opacity: 1;\"><text class=\"legendtext\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"40\" y=\"4.680000000000001\" style=\"font-family: 'Open Sans', verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; fill: rgb(42, 63, 95); fill-opacity: 1; white-space: pre;\">Recovery/Peak</text><g class=\"layers\" style=\"opacity: 1;\"><g class=\"legendfill\"/><g class=\"legendlines\"/><g class=\"legendsymbols\"><g class=\"legendpoints\"><path class=\"scatterpts\" transform=\"translate(20,0)\" d=\"M4.55,0L0,4.55L-4.55,0L0,-4.55Z\" style=\"opacity: 1; stroke-width: 1px; fill: rgb(55, 177, 63); fill-opacity: 1; stroke: rgb(38, 123, 44); stroke-opacity: 1;\"/></g></g></g><rect class=\"legendtoggle\" x=\"0\" y=\"-9.5\" width=\"124.640625\" height=\"19\" style=\"fill: rgb(0, 0, 0); fill-opacity: 0;\"/></g><g class=\"traces\" transform=\"translate(352.0625,14.5)\" style=\"opacity: 1;\"><text class=\"legendtext\" text-anchor=\"start\" x=\"40\" y=\"4.680000000000001\" style=\"font-family: 'Open Sans', verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; fill: rgb(42, 63, 95); fill-opacity: 1; white-space: pre;\">Active</text><g class=\"layers\" style=\"opacity: 1;\"><g class=\"legendfill\"/><g class=\"legendlines\"/><g class=\"legendsymbols\"><g class=\"legendpoints\"><path class=\"scatterpts\" transform=\"translate(20,0)\" d=\"M4.55,0L0,4.55L-4.55,0L0,-4.55Z\" style=\"opacity: 1; stroke-width: 1px; fill: rgb(255, 170, 0); fill-opacity: 1; stroke: rgb(178, 118, 0); stroke-opacity: 1;\"/></g></g></g><rect class=\"legendtoggle\" x=\"0\" y=\"-9.5\" width=\"75.828125\" height=\"19\" style=\"fill: rgb(0, 0, 0); fill-opacity: 0;\"/></g></g></g><rect class=\"scrollbar\" rx=\"20\" ry=\"3\" width=\"0\" height=\"0\" style=\"fill: rgb(128, 139, 164); fill-opacity: 1;\" x=\"0\" y=\"0\"/></g><g class=\"g-gtitle\"><text class=\"gtitle\" x=\"35\" y=\"23\" text-anchor=\"start\" dy=\"0em\" style=\"font-family: 'Open Sans', verdana, arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; fill: rgb(42, 63, 95); opacity: 1; font-weight: normal; white-space: pre;\">BTC-USD Drawdown</text></g><g class=\"g-xtitle\"/><g class=\"g-ytitle\"/></g></svg>"
     },
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "display_data"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Plot drawdown for the selected strategy\n",
    "price.vbt.drawdowns.plot(title='BTC-USD Drawdown').show()"
   ]
  },
  {
   "cell_type": "code",
   "execution_count": 7,
   "metadata": {},
   "outputs": [
    {
     "data": {
      "text/plain": [
       "Start                     2015-01-01 00:00:00+00:00\n",
       "End                       2022-01-23 00:00:00+00:00\n",
       "Duration                         2580 days 00:00:00\n",
       "Initial Cash                                  100.0\n",
       "Total Profit                           19271.293987\n",
       "Total Return [%]                       19271.293987\n",
       "Benchmark Return [%]                   11117.706992\n",
       "Position Coverage [%]                     58.565891\n",
       "Max Drawdown [%]                          58.757571\n",
       "Avg Drawdown [%]                           9.100613\n",
       "Max Drawdown Duration             526 days 00:00:00\n",
       "Avg Drawdown Duration    37 days 15:08:18.461538461\n",
       "Trade Count                                      65\n",
       "Win Rate [%]                              43.076923\n",
       "Best Trade [%]                           182.398197\n",
       "Worst Trade [%]                          -18.570317\n",
       "Avg Trade [%]                             12.286735\n",
       "Max Trade Duration                105 days 00:00:00\n",
       "Avg Trade Duration       23 days 05:54:27.692307692\n",
       "Expectancy                               296.481446\n",
       "SQN                                        1.071022\n",
       "Gross Exposure                             0.585659\n",
       "Sharpe Ratio                               1.657092\n",
       "Sortino Ratio                              2.601486\n",
       "Calmar Ratio                               1.883239\n",
       "Name: 0, dtype: object"
      ]
     },
     "execution_count": 7,
     "metadata": {},
     "output_type": "execute_result"
    }
   ],
   "source": [
    "# Obtain complete stats for the trading strategy\n",
    "pf.stats(freq='D')"
   ]
  }
 ],
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