Add AI practitioner guardrails (Baker et al. 2025)#239
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Overall Assessment The PR’s main feature is a new “Baker et al. 2025” practitioner workflow, but two P1 issues are unmitigated: it rewrites the cited eight-step framework without documenting the deviation, and it recommends Executive Summary
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Performance No findings in the changed code. Maintainability
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Security No findings. Documentation/Tests
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Validation note: this was a static review only. I could not run |
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment The previous HonestDiD-support blocker looks resolved, but one P1 remains: the new Baker workflow is still numbered inconsistently across the exported helper, the long/short AI guides, the registry note, and the new tests. Validation note: this was a static review only; I could not run Executive Summary
Methodology Affected method(s): Baker et al. (2025) practitioner workflow only; no estimator implementation changed.
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment This re-review is down to one remaining blocker. No estimator math, weighting, variance/SE, or default-behavior logic changed in this diff, and the prior Bacon-warning / EfficientDiD API issues appear resolved. The remaining P1 is that the new Baker guardrail artifacts are still not internally consistent: the main guide and runtime helper now use the adapted Step 3/4/5 mapping, but the complete example and evaluation rubric still teach/score the old sequence. Executive Summary
Methodology Affected method(s): Baker et al. (2025) practitioner workflow only; no estimator implementation changed.
Code Quality
Performance No findings. Maintainability No findings. Tech Debt No separate findings. I did not find a Security No findings. Documentation/Tests
Validation note: this was a static review only. I could not execute Path to Approval
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment Executive Summary
Methodology
Code Quality
Performance
Maintainability
Tech Debt
Security
Documentation/Tests
Path to Approval
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment Executive Summary
Methodology
Code Quality No findings. Performance No findings. Maintainability No findings. Tech Debt
Security No findings. Documentation/Tests
Path to Approval
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment Executive Summary
Methodology The cited Baker paper is framed as an organizing framework for DiD designs and estimators rather than a single estimator recipe, so consistency across the short guide, detailed guide, and evaluation rubric is the key methodology check for this PR. (ideas.repec.org)
Code Quality
Performance No findings. Maintainability No findings beyond the Code Quality issue above. Tech Debt
Security No findings. Documentation/Tests
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Ensure AI agents follow the 8-step empiricist workflow from Baker et al. (2025) "Difference-in-Differences Designs: A Practitioner's Guide" when using diff-diff, rather than just calling fit() without diagnostics. New files: - docs/llms-practitioner.txt: Full 8-step workflow mapped to diff-diff API - diff_diff/practitioner.py: practitioner_next_steps() runtime guidance - tests/test_practitioner.py: 26 tests covering all 13 result types - docs/practitioner-guide-evaluation.md: Before/after empirical comparison Empirical validation (30 agent runs): analysis quality improved from 9.4/16 to 16.0/16 (+70%) with zero variance, driven by agents now running HonestDiD sensitivity analysis, formal parallel trends testing, 3-estimator robustness comparisons, and with/without covariate reporting. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
P1 fixes: - Relabel workflow as "based on Baker et al. 2025" (not a 1:1 mapping) - Add REGISTRY.md deviation notes for reorganized steps and diff-diff conventions - Gate HonestDiD guidance to MultiPeriodDiD and CallawaySantAnna only (the only types supported by compute_honest_did) - Add aggregate='event_study' requirement for CS + HonestDiD P2 fixes: - Fix attribute names: pre_treatment_rmse -> pre_treatment_fit, sub_experiments -> n_sub_experiments/stacked_data - Fix EfficientDiD Hausman pretest (estimator method, not results attr) - Fix equivalence_test_trends param: threshold -> equivalence_margin - Fix _covariates_step snippet to note .att vs .overall_att difference - Fix test mocks to use correct attributes (overall_att/overall_se for staggered result types) P3 fix: - Replace Unicode box-drawing chars with ASCII in decision tree Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
P1: Align all files to canonical 8-step numbering from llms.txt: 1-Define, 2-Assumptions, 3-Test PT, 4-Choose estimator, 5-Estimate (with cluster check), 6-Sensitivity, 7-Heterogeneity, 8-Robustness. Moved PT testing from Step 2 into separate Step 3 in llms-practitioner.txt, folded uncertainty into Step 5, updated baker_step values in practitioner.py (PT: 2->3, estimator: 3->4). P2: Bacon handler now checks total_weight_later_vs_earlier > 0.01 instead of negative weights (matches actual BaconDecompositionResults API). EfficientDiD snippet uses actual hausman_pretest() classmethod instead of nonexistent run_pretest=True parameter. Tests: Updated step number assertions, added Bacon warning tests (2) and EfficientDiD handler tests (2). Suite now 30 tests. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
P1: Align complete example and Bacon cross-reference to canonical numbering (Step 3=Test PT, Step 4=Choose estimator, Step 5=Estimate). Complete example now executes check_parallel_trends() and prints cluster count before estimation. Evaluation rubric S3-S5 labels updated to match. P2: _check_nan_att() now checks .avg_att (MultiPeriodDiDResults) in addition to .att and .overall_att. Added regression test. P2: Added TODO.md entry for extending snippet smoke tests to .txt AI guides (deferred, low priority). Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
P1: Complete example Step 3 now uses treatment_group='treat' (binary ever-treated indicator) instead of 'first_treat' (cohort year), with explicit pre_periods=[2003, 2004, 2005]. The previous version would produce an empty treated subset since check_parallel_trends() splits on == 1 / == 0. P2: Evaluation doc comparison tables and narrative now use canonical step labels (S3=Test PT, S4=Choose estimator, S5=Estimate) matching REGISTRY.md and the practitioner guide. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
…mple P1: For staggered designs, replace generic check_parallel_trends() with CS event-study pre-period inspection. The generic helper assumes a single binary treatment with universal pre-periods, which is invalid when cohorts adopt at different times (early-cohort post-treatment observations contaminate the "pre-trend"). The guide and practitioner_next_steps() now emit staggered-specific guidance using event_study_effects pre-periods. P2: Complete example now includes REQUIRED with/without covariates comparison (was missing despite Step 8 marking it mandatory). P2: Evaluation doc model-mix caveat added, residual "Step 4" references changed to "Step 5" to match canonical numbering. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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P1: llms.txt Step 3 now distinguishes simple 2x2 (check_parallel_trends) from staggered (CS event-study pre-periods). Staggered Step 3 snippet in practitioner.py no longer references estimator-specific aggregate parameter that SA/Stacked don't support. P2: Evaluation rubric S3 updated to score staggered-safe diagnostic. Softened causal language re: model-mix confound. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment Executive Summary
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P1: ContinuousDiD and TripleDifference handlers now emit honest
"no built-in formal test" guidance instead of the invalid generic
check_parallel_trends() which assumes a single binary treatment.
P1: Staggered handlers now use _placebo_step(staggered=True) which
recommends specification-based falsification (control group/anticipation/
subsample comparisons) instead of run_all_placebo_tests() (which refits
a basic 2x2 DiD and is invalid for staggered designs).
P2: _check_nan_att() now coerces to float() before testing, handling
numpy scalars (np.float64(nan)) in addition to Python float("nan").
Docs updated: llms.txt Step 6 and llms-practitioner.txt placebo section
now note that run_all_placebo_tests is for simple 2x2 only.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment Executive Summary
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Verification note: static review only; |
Eliminate reuse of staggered templates for non-staggered estimators: - SyntheticDiD/TROP: replace staggered _placebo_step with estimator- specific in-time/in-space placebo guidance (no control_group, anticipation, or cohort-dropping language) - TripleDifference: rewrite to state the actual DDD identifying assumption (weaker than separate PT for two DiDs), remove the "requires PT along two dimensions" mistatement - ContinuousDiD: already fixed (dose-specific guidance) Tests: add negative content assertions ensuring SDiD/TROP don't mention control_group/anticipation, CDiD doesn't emit check_parallel_trends, and DDD doesn't claim "two dimensions". Evaluation doc: tighten qualitative summary to match corrected staggered-safe diagnostics. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment Executive Summary
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Replace all remaining _placebo_step(staggered=True) calls with estimator-specific Step 6 guidance: - SA: control_group comparison (never_treated vs not_yet_treated) - ImputationDiD: no control_group param — cohort subsetting + cross- estimator comparison - TwoStageDiD: same as Imputation (no control_group) - StackedDiD: clean_control variation (not control_group) - EfficientDiD: never_treated vs last_cohort (not not_yet_treated) Tests: negative content assertions on code snippets for Imputation, TwoStage (no control_group in code), Stacked (clean_control), Efficient (no not_yet_treated in code). Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment Executive Summary
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment The highest unmitigated finding is still a P1: the top-level AI-facing summary in docs/llms.txt:L24 continues to present Executive Summary
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Fixing item 1 would move the assessment to ✅. The remaining P2/P3 items are cleanup, not blockers. |
The condensed Step 7 was still presenting aggregate='group' as generic for all staggered estimators. Now distinguishes CS (aggregate parameter) from SA (automatic event_study_effects/cohort_effects). Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment The previous Sun-Abraham Step 7 blocker is fixed, but the new Executive Summary
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Structural fix: practitioner_next_steps() now always emits Step 1 (define target parameter) and Step 2 (state assumptions) as reminders, prepended to every handler's output. These are filterable via completed_steps=['target_parameter', 'assumptions']. This closes the gap where the helper could report the Baker workflow "complete" while silently skipping the first two steps. Fix bibliography: correct author list for arXiv:2503.13323 (Baker, Callaway, Cunningham, Goodman-Bacon, Sant'Anna). Tests: added assertions that Steps 1-2 are always emitted and filterable. SA negative assertion checks code snippets only (excluding generic Step 2 text). 33 tests now. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment Executive Summary
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The guide was recommending PT-GT-NYT / not_yet_treated as the default, contradicting both Baker et al. (who present it as context-dependent) and the library's own docstrings (which default to never_treated). Changed: PT-GT-NYT description no longer says "recommended for most applications" — now describes the trade-off. All code examples changed from not_yet_treated to never_treated (matching library default), with comments noting the choice is context-dependent. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment Executive Summary
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SDiD is for few treated units (synthetic control hybrid). TROP is for suspected factor confounding / interactive fixed effects (nuclear norm regularization). These have different use cases — the previous grouping under "few treated units" contradicted TROP's own documentation. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment Executive Summary
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SDiD robustness step was still suggesting TROP comparison because "both address few treated units" — but TROP is for factor confounding, not few treated units. Now suggests comparing with CS/SA instead, with a note that TROP is a different use case. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall AssessmentExecutive Summary
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run_all_placebo_tests() requires binary time indicator, which MultiPeriodDiD does not use (it has multi-period time). Removed the placebo step from _handle_multi_period; HonestDiD (which IS supported for MultiPeriodDiDResults) remains as the sensitivity tool. DiD handler already correctly uses _placebo_step() (valid for 2x2 with binary time) and does not suggest HonestDiD (not supported for DiDResults). Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment Executive Summary
Methodology This PR is aligning a guidance layer with Baker et al.’s practitioner framework rather than changing estimator formulas. citeturn5search0turn5search1
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P1: Non-staggered parallel_trends_step now qualifies HonestDiD as available "For MultiPeriodDiD or CS results" instead of blanket advice. DiDResults users won't be steered toward unsupported compute_honest_did. P1: Placebo snippet now uses binary time='post' with pre_periods=[0], post_periods=[1] matching what run_all_placebo_tests() actually needs (it refits DifferenceInDifferences which validates binary time). Also shows error-dict handling in the guide instead of silently filtering. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment Executive Summary
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Basic DiD handler now has its own PT step that doesn't mention HonestDiD (which DiDResults doesn't support). The shared _parallel_trends_step() is now only used by MultiPeriodDiD (where HonestDiD IS supported) and the generic fallback. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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🔁 AI review rerun (requested by @igerber) Head SHA: Overall Assessment✅ Looks good This re-review resolves the prior P1. The PR adds a guidance/documentation layer and a new helper, but it does not change estimator formulas, weighting, variance/SE computation, identification checks, or defaults. Executive Summary
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Replace the original adherence-only rubric (which inflated before scores by giving credit for running the wrong diagnostic) with a correctness rubric that penalizes methodologically invalid choices. Before scores drop from 9.4 to 8.4 (generic check_parallel_trends on staggered data scored as 1, not 2). Final scores: 15.55/16. Net improvement increases from +65% to +85%. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Summary
docs/llms-practitioner.txt: 8-step Baker et al. (2025) workflow mapped to concrete diff-diff API calls, structured as agent-executable instructionsdocs/llms.txtwith practitioner workflow header — the first thing AI agents see on discoverydiff_diff/practitioner.py:practitioner_next_steps(results)function providing context-aware guidance for all 13 result types via handler registry dispatchtests/test_practitioner.py: 26 tests covering all result types, completed_steps filtering, verbose output, NaN handling, and unknown type fallbackdocs/practitioner-guide-evaluation.md: empirical before/after comparison across 30 independent agent runsMethodology references (required if estimator / math changes)
practitioner.pyis a guidance module (no estimator math). References Baker, Larcker & Wang (2025) "Difference-in-Differences Designs: A Practitioner's Guide" (arXiv:2503.13323) for the 8-step workflow.Validation
tests/test_practitioner.py(26 tests, all passing)docs/practitioner-guide-evaluation.md.Security / privacy
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