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Replace hard efficiency cap with soft asymptotic curve, allow 10x bra…#88

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jakechinitz merged 1 commit into
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claude/fix-ai-efficiency-cap-db3i3
Feb 11, 2026
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Replace hard efficiency cap with soft asymptotic curve, allow 10x bra…#88
jakechinitz merged 1 commit into
mainfrom
claude/fix-ai-efficiency-cap-db3i3

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…in efficiency

The previous model hard-clamped efficiency at 117x (5x brain, 6W floor), stopping all gains around year 5. This was unrealistically abrupt — the actual Landauer limit is ~10^6x below current chips.

Now:

  • Efficiency knee at ~233x (700W / 3W = 10x brain efficiency)
  • Below the knee: gains are linear (unchanged behavior)
  • Above the knee: logarithmic diminishing returns — improvements continue but dramatically slower, reflecting practical engineering limits
  • Efficiency cells stay editable past the knee (no more greying out)
  • Brain equivalency display shows "DIMINISHING" instead of "AT LIMIT"

This means years 6-20 still see meaningful efficiency improvements (maybe 500-700x total over 20 years vs the old hard stop at 117x), which significantly reduces the demand/supply gap in later years.

https://claude.ai/code/session_01PHK9qmguUSTyvykAoho467

…in efficiency

The previous model hard-clamped efficiency at 117x (5x brain, 6W floor),
stopping all gains around year 5. This was unrealistically abrupt — the
actual Landauer limit is ~10^6x below current chips.

Now:
- Efficiency knee at ~233x (700W / 3W = 10x brain efficiency)
- Below the knee: gains are linear (unchanged behavior)
- Above the knee: logarithmic diminishing returns — improvements continue
  but dramatically slower, reflecting practical engineering limits
- Efficiency cells stay editable past the knee (no more greying out)
- Brain equivalency display shows "DIMINISHING" instead of "AT LIMIT"

This means years 6-20 still see meaningful efficiency improvements
(maybe 500-700x total over 20 years vs the old hard stop at 117x),
which significantly reduces the demand/supply gap in later years.

https://claude.ai/code/session_01PHK9qmguUSTyvykAoho467
@jakechinitz jakechinitz merged commit bd8470e into main Feb 11, 2026
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