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Off-grid power offsets grid infrastructure demand (PPAs + transformers)#91

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jakechinitz merged 1 commit into
mainfrom
claude/fix-ai-efficiency-cap-db3i3
Feb 15, 2026
Merged

Off-grid power offsets grid infrastructure demand (PPAs + transformers)#91
jakechinitz merged 1 commit into
mainfrom
claude/fix-ai-efficiency-cap-db3i3

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Previously, power_generation (PPAs) and transformers_lpt gated independently at full intensity regardless of off-grid capacity. A datacenter with on-site gas turbines or solar+storage doesn't need a utility PPA or a large power transformer for that portion of its load — only the grid-connected fraction does.

Fix: compute gridShare = grid_interconnect / (grid_interconnect + off_grid_power) each month, and scale power_generation and transformers_lpt intensity by this ratio. Applied in both:

  • Gating: off-grid MW reduces the constraint from PPAs and LPTs
  • Production: these nodes produce against actual grid-fraction demand, not total fleet power demand

Physical logic: grid path needs PPA + transformer + hookup approval. Off-grid path needs only on-site generation. As hyperscalers build more behind-the-meter capacity (Epoch AI thesis), grid infrastructure becomes less of a binding constraint proportionally.

https://claude.ai/code/session_01PHK9qmguUSTyvykAoho467

Previously, power_generation (PPAs) and transformers_lpt gated
independently at full intensity regardless of off-grid capacity. A
datacenter with on-site gas turbines or solar+storage doesn't need a
utility PPA or a large power transformer for that portion of its load —
only the grid-connected fraction does.

Fix: compute gridShare = grid_interconnect / (grid_interconnect +
off_grid_power) each month, and scale power_generation and
transformers_lpt intensity by this ratio. Applied in both:
- Gating: off-grid MW reduces the constraint from PPAs and LPTs
- Production: these nodes produce against actual grid-fraction demand,
  not total fleet power demand

Physical logic: grid path needs PPA + transformer + hookup approval.
Off-grid path needs only on-site generation. As hyperscalers build more
behind-the-meter capacity (Epoch AI thesis), grid infrastructure becomes
less of a binding constraint proportionally.

https://claude.ai/code/session_01PHK9qmguUSTyvykAoho467
@jakechinitz jakechinitz merged commit dc46209 into main Feb 15, 2026
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2 participants