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The flat 4-week average was too conservative when ramping up — older low-volume weeks dragged the average below target even when recent weeks were above pace. Now: - Uses weighted 4-week average (linear weights favoring recent weeks) - Computes weekly volume trend via linear regression - Catch-up simulation projects each future week as avg + trend*w when trend is positive, so upward trajectories are modeled - Shows trend rate in the catch-up callout (+X m/wk²) Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
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